Ever since I hung around with grassroots organizers and political science students in college, I’ve enjoyed predicting the outcomes of elections, particularly the Electoral College resulting from presidential elections. I’ve been fairly accurate in the past as well, correctly predicting the 2004, 2000, 1996, 1988, 1984 and 1980 presidential elections. (I thought Bill Clinton didn’t stand a chance in 1992. I even voted a protest vote for him, thinking George H. W. Bush couldn’t possibly lose to him. Boy, was I wrong!)
Even though I’ve been wrong at nearly every turn this cycle (I thought Democrats would never nominate a junior senator with a paragraph of experience over Hillary Clinton, and I thought Republicans would never nominate the co-author of McCain/Feingold, McCain/Kennedy and McCain/Leiberman, not to mention the leader of the “Gang of 14″), I still offer my prediction on how I think the Electoral College results will look on the morning of Wednesday, November 5th. (Please, God, don’t let them string it out again for weeks!)
Update 11/4/2008: Well, it’s obvious I wasn’t entirely accurate. I was wrong about Colorado, Nevada, Iowa, Indiana, Ohio, North Carolina, Virginia, and Florida. In 20+ years of predicting presidential Electoral College results, this is the worst I’ve ever done.